Our Polls Do Not Sway Voters- Global InfoAnalytics
The Executive Director of Global Info Analytics, Mussa Dankwah, has contested suggestions that its polls have a bandwagon effect.
According to him, the analysis shows the contrary.
He argued that the actual results would have been far higher than the polls predicted if that was the case, as he cited the 2023 NPP presidential primaries in which their pollster predicted 58% for DMB, with +-2% margin of error.
“He got 61%, just a point away from the poll. Was there a bandwagon effect? No, the polls don’t change anything but confirm people’s intentions. If there is a bandwagon effect, then the actual results should have been several points above the polls.”
“Again, in 2024 polls JM was 54% +-1.5%, Akwatia, Baidoo 53% +- 2%. The results were within the poll’s margin of error, meaning there were no bandwagon effects recorded in the three elections. The bandwagon effect would be where the poll says 53% and the actual results are 60%. Our polls have never been by more than 3%.”
According to him, the bandwagon effect works when there are illiterate voters, not when over 65% of voters have at least an SHS education and 75% of your voters are below 45%.
Story by Hajara Fuseini
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